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Expect heavy rain, possible floods this week

Tuesday, January 6, 2009 3:28 PM PST

By Barbara LaBoe

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Put away the snow shovels and break out the rain boots. Heavy rains forecast for this week swell the Cowlitz River above flood stage at both Castle Rock and Kelso, but the water isn’t expected to threaten dikes, officials said Monday.

However, tributary creeks entering the Cowlitz may overflow their banks.

Officials will keep a close eye on river levels but said the main concern now is landslides and high winds that could knock down trees and power lines. The series of strong storms are expected to dump almost 7 inches of rain in Southwest Washington between Tuesday night and Thursday, according to the National Weather Service. Winds of up to 20 mph are expected Tuesday night and Wednesday.

Rains are supposed to be the heaviest from Wednesday morning through Thursday morning, said Dave Vorse, the Castle Rock public works director.

The Cowlitz River at Castle Rock is expected to crest at 53 feet early Thursday morning, according to the Cowlitz County Department of Emergency Management. That’s above the flood stage of 48 feet but below what the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers considers the safe levee height — 57.9 feet. The top of the levee is 62.9 feet.

“They’re saying it’s going to be less than 1996,” Vorse said, referring to the February storm that year that caused wide-scale flooding in the area “But how much less we don’t know.”

The river did not flood diked Cowlitz River communities during that storm, one of the worst to hit the basin in the last century. However, surface stormwater was a problem in Castle Rock because water couldn’t be pumped out of the downtown area fast enough.

In Kelso, the Cowlitz is expected to crest at 24 feet at 10 a.m. Thursday. Flood stage is 21.5 feet in Kelso. The expected crest is also well below the safe levee height. The crest at Kelso during the February 1996 storm was 29 feet.

The Lewis River is supposed to flow very high but not reach flood stage, according to Cowlitz County officials.

The forecast has Castle Rock officials and staff meeting Tuesday to plan how to respond as needed, Vorse said.

The city’s two main storm pump systems have generators to help pump rain water out into the Cowlitz River, Vorse said. So crews will focus on landslide and power outage concerns unless things change, he said.

“Like any storm, you don’t know what the issues are going to be,” he said.

And, while the Cowlitz isn’t expected to spill over the levee, Vorse said the Whittle and Arkansas creeks could back up on the west side of the river, causing localized flooding.

Vorse recommended all residents prepare like they would for any weather emergency, including making sure they have flashlights and warm blankets in case of a power outage. Checking on neighbors who are elderly or might need more assistance also is a good idea, he said.

And, because heavy storms can cause city catch basins and stormwater systems to back up, Vorse cautioned residents not to drive through patches of backed up water until the system has a time to clear it away.

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Snewey wrote on Jan 6, 2009 3:37 AM:

" DW will doubtless opine that this forecast is yet another Communist conspiracy to eradicate the basic rights of all Americans. "

pacnwmom wrote on Jan 6, 2009 9:03 AM:

" How's the water up behind the dam`s? Wasn't that the issue in 96? The water was too high then wasn't it? "

madcow wrote on Jan 6, 2009 9:30 AM:

" The lake level is 712 feet currently. Full pool is 778. I think the current level is well below the 1996 levels. Tacoma power and light keeps it pretty low in the winter in the past few seasons. "

Diesel wrote on Jan 6, 2009 11:26 AM:

" Re: pacnwmom - since the flood of 96 most all dam's keep their water levels low during the winter months so that they won't face the same problem of having to let out a bunch of water. By keeping their levels at a manageable point they don't have to open spillways like they did in 96 thus sparing us the additional water to add to the problem. That's not to say that we won't have any problems because if we get the full 7" like they are calling foe and the rising snow level, possible up to 8,000' there will still be a considerable runoff. One the bright side we don't have the low level snow cover like we did in 96. "

Lucky7 wrote on Jan 6, 2009 12:46 PM:

" Welcome to The Great Northwest! One of my Southern California relatives recently retired and moved up here this past summer and is so sick of our winter she's thinking of moving back. We tried to warn her! "

pacnwmom wrote on Jan 6, 2009 12:51 PM:

" Thanks. I just remember people talking that it was the dams fault that we flooded so badly then. Lets hope we don't get that 7 inches though! Good luck to all those in flood prone areas! "

pacnwmom wrote on Jan 6, 2009 12:51 PM:

" Where did you guys find that information on the water levels? "

GT SHT EM wrote on Jan 6, 2009 2:18 PM:

" you can find river flows@ http://waterdata.usgs.gov/wa/nwis/current/?type=flow "

CRfisherman wrote on Jan 6, 2009 2:37 PM:

" Just a thought....How about not building your home in flood prone areas. Hello? Is there any intelligent life out there? "

swan wrote on Jan 6, 2009 3:01 PM:

" row, row, row your boat "

bretharte wrote on Jan 6, 2009 3:03 PM:

" Is it time to build the canal to california, provide lots of jobs, and sell the liquid to a state that would love to get their hands on some excess run-off! In lean years the spigot is turned down; but the past 2 years have been banner years, (including this one), build it and they will pay for it in 10 yrs.! Just a thought! "

Beer&Skittles wrote on Jan 6, 2009 3:19 PM:

" Dobnurble gurblurblelurb naburblerble floberblenerbl kinerbles! Don't forget your snorkle and swimfins kids! "

Snewey wrote on Jan 6, 2009 3:34 PM:

" Lucky7: Conversely, I retired and moved to ravishingly beautiful Longview, Washington from arid Los Angeles, California four years ago. I would never consider returning to Southern California; not even to visit! I have found living in Longview to be ideal in every respect! We now even have a Vietnamese restaurant here. What more could one ask for? "

Rubicon wrote on Jan 6, 2009 3:47 PM:

" The dams on the cowlitz are letting out water. "

DUH wrote on Jan 6, 2009 5:04 PM:

" Thank God for storm water management. They've managed to make Alpha Drive flood whenever someone sweats profusely. BTW, Alpha Drive is closed now due to water over the roadway. "

Lucky7 wrote on Jan 6, 2009 5:50 PM:

" I hear you Snewey, I like it here too. My relative moved up from Oceanside but doesn't want to go back to the crowded areas of SoCal. She's looking to keep her place here for the summers and is looking at a 55 & over manufactured home park in Yucca Valley for her winter desert getaway. "

jimmy joe bob wrote on Jan 6, 2009 8:52 PM:

" Here in Woodland they filled the flood plains so the could build there over priced homes.I would hate to see what would happen if the Lewis rises above flood stage "

Atrucker wrote on Jan 6, 2009 10:07 PM:

" Well Castle rock this will be the test to see if A hole gets blown through Huntington Ave. down below the river side park , that ya.ll decided that you had no money to fix. IT may get ya this time . "

nipsey wrote on Jan 7, 2009 4:27 AM:

" Are you guys nuts??? This has been happening year in and year out! Is this news??? Ok, take notes: It rains, it snows, it rains, then it snows some more. BIG FAT DUH!!!! "

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